Future
Perceptions of Distance Learning: 5-10 Years
A
2009 study of 239 schools found “a
surprising lack of high visibility of online degree program offerings on
university official websites” (Gambescia
& Paolucci, 2009, p. 5) revealing that nearly 70% of these universities relegated
their online program information to secondary page links or even worse, to a
search box capability. This is the case,
even though evidence points to “a strong trend upwards in considering online
education as part of a school’s long term strategy”(p. 5).
These disharmonious facts lend
credence to the notion that degree granting institutions are currently
struggling to identify their own future in distance education programs.
My Alma-mater, Providence College, only refers to online learning in it's continuing education section of its web-site which is at least three page clicks deep:
“Distance
education is not yet a comfortable environment in promising success for those
who prefer to run with the crowd, to ‘play it safe’, and who are unduly
respectful of convention and tradition”(Burge, 2007, p. 122). Those
institutions with the inflexible views that distance education degree programs
are still the inferior method of learning, display a rigid ignorance to what
the numbers are clearly evidencing. I
believe that more of these institutions and their faulty perceptions will soon
buckle under the competitive market pressure to offer substantive virtual
degree tracks or they will not survive financially in their current educational
missions. Perhaps, these campus
dinosaurs will slowly evolve into research institutions exclusively, but they
will not be able to carry their own weight under traditional teaching or under deficient
distance programs.
I
think that distance education degree programs, now experiencing a polishing
period so to speak, are poised to exploit an impending "bubble burst"
in the next 5-10 years for traditional education. People will increasingly perceive
that the costs and other intangible sacrifices of conventional learning have
just grown so egregiously enormous [and therefore, increasingly only for the
wealthy elite], that more will take the route of seeking customized skills
instead of the orthodox, inelastic, campus-based degree programs. More people
will see that distance education successfully serves this market demand through
“new communication tools, contribution of experts around the world, and
increased use of multi-media, games and simulations”(Siemens, n.d.). Read this 2011
article entitled The Future of Online Learning which corroborates these specific impending trends for
distance learning in accountability and transparency, course content and
quality, the role of the instructor, and finally, collaboration and multi-modal
content delivery.
Future
Perceptions of Distance Learning: 10-20 Years
“A major benefit of college level online
learning that cannot be overstated is that this new delivery method has
accelerated the democratization of a college education”(Gambescia &
Paolucci, 2009, p. 14). The future of
distance learning will “enable a universal population to be able to say, if
they wanted to, that they too were entitled to learn, and able to learn”
(Burge, 2007, p. 122). This distance learning future will not exclude formal
virtual degree programs, but it will also include and even be challenged by
those learners who not only want to learn but also want to innovate in highly
specific ways.
To this point, I found another visionary article that details how the world population’s increasing literacy rates will explode in 20 years and how this will be a major catalyst for positive changes in distance education. “Digital technology will continue its rapid ascent… There will be more pooling of resources among the providers of education to meet the demands of personalized/customized education of the next twenty-five years. Open and distance education as it is being practiced today will not be the same, just as the traditional university will no longer be traditional. Being flexible as such, open and distance education institutions would lead the way, becoming universities/institution of convergence, fully engaged in networked learning. "The transformation has already begun”(Srivastava & Reddy, 2003) . “Let us not forget that the post-industrial environment is global rather than national” (Srivastava et al., 2003). The infamous digital divide will no longer exist between the wealthy elite and third world learners.
We already see new and exciting curriculum possibilities provided to global learners from top-tier
institutions, which now offer web-based courses available online for free to
reach millions worldwide. Click this Announcement of Coursera and visit
this Coursera Web-site, which is just another of many, such
accumulating open courseware sites on the world-wide-web. Additionally, the world’s
greatest thinkers are currently assembling across the internet in non-degree
forums such as this one at TED.com, in order to spread the wealth of
knowledge to all peoples. As such,
people of the world in 20 years will recognize distance learning just as
valuable for their minds and for their economic survival as water is for their
bodies.
My ID Role as
Proponent in Improving Society’s Distance Learning Perceptions
“We
believe strongly that distance education, specifically web-based distance
education, is the single most promising educational innovation of our
lifetime. We feel sure it will continue
its current spectacular growth in both popularity and availability, and that
future growth will involve nearly every imaginable level and type of schooling”
(Aggarwal, 2007, p. 7)
Aggarwal’s worthy book highlights the current conundrum of balancing the
concerns for curriculum quality and intellectual property rights with meeting
the needs of the outlandish growth in distance education. My role as an ID proponent of distance
learning in society is an important one in helping to navigate these troubling
waters. My role will be one of an
inventor in helping to discover, create, and implement effective curriculum
content for society’s knowledge needs.
Myself
as a Positive Force for Continuous Improvement
in Distance Education Field
When I started this course, I thought about how
much I felt like Daniel Boone, the famous frontiersman. Now in my last resource article of the class,
the author calls distance education students, teachers and instructional
designers “pioneers [who are] idiosyncratic, innovative, [and] creative”(Burge,
2007, p. 122). I have fallen more
comfortably into the role of path cutter now and feel more confident in my
abilities to “look for [my] chance of contributing to the needed
revolution”(Burge, 2007, p. 122). I hope
to continually stay abreast of the latest research in distance education
because “it summarizes what is known…and it shows where there are unexplored
spaces”(Burge, 2007, p. 123).
Just for kicks, here are two pictures: one of the actor, Fess Parker, who played Daniel Boone on TV in the 1950's versus the real Daniel Boone who settled the Kentucky frontier:
I hope to continually improve my skills
and never stop learning more as the online world changes so rapidly. Perhaps then, I can become a positive force
in the field and help others feel more comfortable, because as Dr. Siemen puts
it, simple “comfort is the key challenge”(Siemen, n.d.). “Tomorrow's citizens [especially me as an instructional designer in
distance education] will have to be more competent and comfortable with the
technologies of the day. [ I ] will have to be versatile in [ my ] readiness
and willingness to embrace change and learn new skills” (Srivastava &
Reddy, 2003). I will be 88 years old in
2050 and God willing, still sharp as a tack. “As the adage goes, ‘If you want
to live in the 21st century, live with the 21st century tools’”(2003).
References
Aggarwal, D.D. (2007). Future of distance education. New Delhi, India: Satrup & Sons.
Burge, E. (Ed.). (2007). Critical
minds for a change. In Crafting the future: Flexible higher education. Open University
Press/McGraw Hill Education.
Gambescia, S., & Paolucci, R.
(2009). Academic fidelity and integrity as attributes of
university online degree program offerings. Online
Journal of Distance Learning
Administration,12(1).
Retrieved from http://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla
/spring121/gambescia121.html
Schmidt, E., & Gallegos, A.
(2001). Distance learning: Issues and concerns of distance
learners. Journal of Industrial Technology, 17(3).
Retrieved from http://atmae.org
/jit/Articles/schmidt041801.pdf
Siemens,
G. (n.d.). The Future of Distance Education Lecture
presented for Laureate Education, Inc. Retrieved from http://sylvan.live.ecollege.com/ec/crs/default.learn?CourseID=6493363&Survey=1&47=8988324&ClientNodeID=984650&coursenav=1&bhcp=1
Srivastava, M. &
Reddy, V.V. (2003). ICT and the future
of distance education. Turkish
Online Journal
of Distance Education, 4(4).
Retrieved from
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